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Carfora Alfonso

Alfonso Carfora

Ricercatore T.D. (STAT-02/A)
  • Telefono (+39) 07332583278
  • E-mail alfonso.carfora@unimc.it
Dipartimento di Economia e Diritto
 

Ricercatore (RtD-B) presso il Dipartimento di Economia e Diritto dell’Università di Macerata con affidamento degli insegnamenti di Calcolo delle Probabilità e inferenza, Statistica economica big data e microdati e Panel data analysis. Attualmente presta attività di consulenza presso il Dipartimento della Ragioneria Generale delle Stato del Ministero dell'Economia e delle Finanze in ambito di analisi dei processi di gestione, revisione e valutazione della spesa. Ha conseguito il Dottorato di ricerca in Statistica applicata al territorio presso l'Università di Napoli Parthenope dove è stato successivamente assegnista di ricerca. Dal 2013 al 2023 ha lavorato presso l’Agenzia delle entrate, dapprima come funzionario statistico-economico presso l'Ufficio Studi economico-statistici e, successivamente, come Responsabile dell'Ufficio Studio e valutazione dell'impatto normativo.

L’attività di ricerca si concentra su tematiche inerenti la valutazione di impatto delle politiche pubbliche e dei loro effetti sul comportamento di imprese e individui a cui si rivolgono, la stima dell'economia sommersa e dell'evasione fiscale nel contesto italiano e internazionale, le determinanti dell’evasione. I risultati dell’attività di ricerca sono pubblicati su riviste scientifiche nazionali ed internazionali, presentati a convegni scientifici e utilizzati nelle collaborazioni con gruppi di ricerca nazionali e internazionali.

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Assistant professor in Economic statistics at the Department of Economics and Law, University of Macerata, with tenure of the teachings of Probabiity and inferential statistics, Economic statistics and Panel data analysis. He holds a Ph.D. in Applied Statistics at the University of Naples "Parthenope" where he was also a research fellow. He holds a consulting position at the State General Accounting Department of the  Ministry of Economy and Finance, dealing with management process analysis and expenditure evaluation. From 2013 to 2023, he worked at the Italian Revenue Agency, first as statistician at the research unit and then as head of the fiscal policy evaluation unit.

His research activity focuses on the impact evaluation of public policies and their effects on firms and individuals, the shadow economy estimates and tax evasion in the national and international context.The results are published in national and international scientific journals, presented at scientific conferences and used in collaborations with national and international research groups.

  • 2025 Carfora, A., Scandurra, G., The multifaced challenge to tackle energy poverty: outlook scenarios for EU countries. in Methodological and Applied Statistics and Demography III – SIS 2024 Short Papers,; Springer; pp. 347 - 353 (ISBN: 978-3-031-64430-6)
    02.01 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio) » scheda U-PAD
  • 2025 Carfora, Alfonso, Pacifico, Antonio, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Do Fiscal Incentives Boost Energy Transition and Energy Efficiency? The Case of Italian Bonuses (and Superbonuses) in ITALIAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL; 11; Berlino, Springer; pp. 1 - 34 (ISSN: 2199-322X)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2025 Carfora, Alfonso, Struga, Meivis, Polinesi, Gloria, Comodi, Gabriele, Marko, Oltion, Measuring energy poverty in rural Albania: A multidimensional and context-sensitive approach in ENERGY POLICY; 206 - 114804; Amsterdam, Elsevier; pp. 1 - 12 (ISSN: 1873-6777)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2025 Carfora, Alfonso, Minervini, Leo Fulvio, Scandurra., Giuseppe, Fiscal incentives for energy poverty in Italy: Bridging the gap or missing the mark? in ENERGY RESEARCH & SOCIAL SCIENCE; 126 104161.; Amsterdam, Elsevier; pp. 1 - 17 (ISSN: 2214-6296)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2025 Carfora, Alfonso, Chelli, Francesco Maria, Scandurra, Giuseppe, The Dual Impact of Energy Efficiency and Rebound Effects on Energy Poverty: An Italian Case Study in SUSTAINABILITY, INNOVATION AND DIGITALIZATION: Statistical Measurement for Economic Analysis. BOOK OF SHORT PAPERS; Napoli, Enzo Albano; pp. 85 - 88 (ISBN: 979-12-80655-52-3)
    02.01 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio) » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Carfora, Alfonso, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Boosting green energy transition to tackle energy poverty in Europe in ENERGY RESEARCH & SOCIAL SCIENCE; 110; AMSTERDAM, ELSEVIER; pp. 1 - 18 (ISSN: 2214-6296)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Carfora, A., Minervini, L. F., Assessing the Targeting Effectiveness of Fiscal Incentives toward Energy-Poor Families in CFE-CMStatistics 2024 - Book of abstracts; pp. 177 - 177 (ISBN: 978-9925-7812-8-7)
    04.01 Contributo in atti di convegno » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Carfora, Alfonso, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Thomas, Antonio, Exploring the effect of energy transition on energy poverty in the european union: empirical evidence in ENERGY SOURCES. PART B, ECONOMICS, PLANNING AND POLICY; 19.1; Philadelphia, PA, Taylor and Francis; pp. 1 - 24 (ISSN: 1556-7257)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Carfora, A., Cutrini, E., Minervini, L. F., Concentration of Income and Wealth in Italy and Remarks on Their Tax Treatment in La sostenibilità. Percorsi tra ambiente, società e governance; eum - Edizioni Università di Macerata; pp. 99 - 125 (ISBN: 978-88-6056-973-8)
    02.01 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio) » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Carfora, Alfonso, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Thomas, Antonio, Conceptualizing an interpretative framework for energy transition among Italian innovative small and medium enterprises in ENERGY POLICY; 195 - 114392; AMSTERDAM, ELSEVIER; pp. 1 - 12 (ISSN: 0301-4215)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Carfora, Alfonso, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Thomas., Antonio, Does Crime Influence Investment in Renewable Energy Sources? Empirical Evidence from Italy in ENERGIES; 17; Basel, MDPI; pp. 1 - 19 (ISSN: 1996-1073)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Carfora, Alfonso, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Forecasting Energy Poverty in European Countries: The Effect of Increasing Energy Commodities Prices in ENERGIES; 17; Basel, MDPI; pp. 1 - 14 (ISSN: 1996-1073)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2024 Abdallah, Ismail, Carfora, Alfonso, Scaccia, Luisa, The path towards sustainability in the European Union countries: the role of the renewable energy policies in La sostenibilità. Percorsi tra ambiente, società e governance; Macerata, EUM - Edizioni Università di Macerata; pp. 1 - 21 (ISBN: 978-88-6056-973-8)
    02.01 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio) » scheda U-PAD
  • 2023 Thomas, A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Profiling green innovative behaviour: Evidence from Italian technology-based SMEs in JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT; 69; RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS, Elsevier B.V.; pp. 101764 - 101788 (ISSN: 0923-4748)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2022 Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Scandurra, G., Energy dependence, renewable energy generation and import demand: Are EU countries resilient? in RENEWABLE ENERGY; 195; THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 1262 - 1274 (ISSN: 0960-1481)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2022 Carfora, A., Passaro, R., Scandurra, G., Thomas, A., Do determinants of eco-innovations vary? An investigation of innovative SMEs through a quantile regression approach in JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION; 370; THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 133475 - 133494 (ISSN: 0959-6526)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2022 Carfora, A., Passaro, R., Scandurra, G., Thomas, A., The Casual Nexus between Income and Energy Poverty in EU Member States in ENERGIES; 15; ST ALBAN-ANLAGE 66, CH-4052 BASEL, SWITZERLAND, MDPI; pp. 2822 - 2836 (ISSN: 1996-1073)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2022 Carfora, A., Scandurra, G., Thomas, A., Forecasting the COVID-19 effects on energy poverty across EU member states in ENERGY POLICY; 161; THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 112597 - 112610 (ISSN: 0301-4215)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2021 Carfora, Alfonso, D’Agosto, Elena, Pisani, Stefano, TAX COMPLIANCE AND THE ROLE OF TAX CONSULTANTS: EVIDENCE FROM AN ITALIAN EXPERIENCE in Argomenti di discussione (discussion topics); 1; Roma, Agenzia delle entrate; pp. 1 - 17
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2021 Carfora, A., Scandurra, G., Thomas, A., Factors affecting official development assistance distribution. A panel investigation in JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION; 304; THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 126970 - 126994 (ISSN: 0959-6526)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2021 Carfora, Alfonso, Thomas, Antonio, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Tackling Energy Poverty after Covid-19 Pandemic
    04.02 Abstract in atti di convegno » scheda U-PAD
  • 2021 Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Scandurra, G., The role of environmental taxes and public policies in supporting RES investments in EU countries: Barriers and mimicking effects in ENERGY POLICY; 149; THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 112044 - 112065 (ISSN: 0301-4215)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2021 Thomas, Antonio, Scandurra, Giuseppe, Carfora, Alfonso, Adoption of green innovations by {SMEs}: an investigation about the influence of stakeholders in EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF INNOVATION MANAGEMENT; 25; HOWARD HOUSE, WAGON LANE, BINGLEY BD16 1WA, W YORKSHIRE, ENGLAND, EMERALD GROUP PUBLISHING LTD; pp. 44 - 63 (ISSN: 1460-1060)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2021 Carfora, A., Scandurra, G., Thomas, A., Determinants of environmental innovations supporting small- and medium-sized enterprises sustainable development in BUSINESS STRATEGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT; 30; 111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ USA, John Wiley and Sons Ltd; pp. 2621 - 2636 (ISSN: 0964-4733)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2020 Scandurra, G., Thomas, A., Passaro, R., Bencini, J., Carfora, A., Does climate finance reduce vulnerability in Small Island Developing States? An empirical investigation in JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION; 256; THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 120330 - 120345 (ISSN: 0959-6526)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2020 Carfora, Alfonso, Dongiovanni, Salvatore, Marabucci, Alessio, Pisani, Stefano, The impact of domestic factors and spillover effects on EU countries VAT gap in Argomenti di discussione (discussion topics); 1; Roma, Agenzia delle entrate; pp. 1 - 35
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2020 Braiotta, A., Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Pisani, S., Tax gap and redistributive aspects across Italy in SR SCIENZE REGIONALI; 19; Bologna, Societa Editrice il Mulino; pp. 205 - 226 (ISSN: 1720-3929)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2019 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Ronghi, M., Forecasting the RES generation in developed and developing countries: a dynamic factor model approach in ENERGY SYSTEMS; 10; Berlino, Springer Verlag; pp. 1071 - 1091 (ISSN: 1868-3967)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2019 Carfora, Alfonso, Massimiliano, Marigliani, Stefano, Pisani, The effects of the extension of the split payment on the VAT revenues: A counterfactual analysis
    04.02 Abstract in atti di convegno » scheda U-PAD
  • 2019 Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Scandurra, G., The causal relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth in Asian developing countries: A replication in ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS; 23; LONDRA, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 81 - 85 (ISSN: 2211-467X)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2019 Carfora, A., Scandurra, G., The impact of climate funds on economic growth and their role in substituting fossil energy sources in ENERGY POLICY; 129; LONDRA, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 182 - 192 (ISSN: 0301-4215)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2019 Carfora, Alfonso, Vega Pansini, Rosaria, Pisani, Stefano, Income Distribution and inequality: the distortive role of tax evasion
    04.02 Abstract in atti di convegno » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Pisani, S., Spatial dynamic modelling of tax gap: The case of Italy in EUROPEAN SPATIAL RESEARCH AND POLICY; 25; VARSAVIA, Sciendo; pp. 7 - 28 (ISSN: 1231-1952)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Scandurra, Giuseppe, Carfora, Alfonso, The climate funds for energy sustainability: a counterfactual analysis in Book of Short Papers SIS 2018; Pearson; pp. 1 - 18 (ISBN: 9788891910233)
    02.01 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio) » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., The dynamic of the United States' Co2 emissions: An empirical multidimensional analysis in Focus on Renewable Energy Sources; Nova Science Publishers, Inc.; pp. 105 - 114
    02.01 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio) » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Romano, Antonio A., Scandurra, Giuseppe, Carfora, Alfonso, Ronghi, Monica, Climate Finance as an Instrument to Promote the Green Growth in Developing Countries BERLINO, SPRINGER; pp. 1 - 124 (ISBN: 9783319607108,9783319607115)
    03.01 Monografia o trattato scientifico » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 De Luca, Giovanni, Carfora, Alfonso, A Dynamic Factor Model for Italian and German Recessions in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BUSINESS AND SOCIAL SCIENCE; 9; Boston, Center for Promoting Ideas; pp. 1 - 20 (ISSN: 2219-1933)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Scandurra, G., Romano, A. A., Ronghi, M., Carfora, A., On the vulnerability of Small Island Developing States: A dynamic analysis in ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS; 84; NEW YORK, Elsevier B.V.; pp. 382 - 392 (ISSN: 1470-160X)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Pisani, S., Regional tax evasion and audit enforcement in REGIONAL STUDIES; 52; LONDRA, Routledge; pp. 362 - 373 (ISSN: 0034-3404)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Carfora, Alfonso, Vega Pansini, Rosaria, Scandurra, Giuseppe, The new deal of U.S. environmental policy: Challenges or threat?
    04.02 Abstract in atti di convegno » scheda U-PAD
  • 2018 Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Renewable energy development and green public policies complementarities: The case of developed and developing countries in RENEWABLE ENERGY; 115; LONDRA, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 741 - 749 (ISSN: 0960-1481)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2017 Carfora, A., Ronghi, M., Scandurra, G., The effect of climate finance on greenhouse gas emission: A quantile regression approach in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENERGY ECONOMICS AND POLICY; 7; ISTANBUL, Econjournals; pp. 185 - 199 (ISSN: 2146-4553)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2017 Carfora, Alfonso, Marigliani, Massimiliano, Pisani, Stefano, Spingola, Andrea, Gli effetti dello split payment sulla compliance IVA in Argomenti di discussione (discussion topics); 1; Roma, Agenzia delle entrate; pp. 1 - 24 [» web resource]
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2017 Carfora, A., Romano, A. A., Ronghi, M., Scandurra, G., Renewable generation across Italian regions: Spillover effects and effectiveness of European Regional Fund in ENERGY POLICY; 102; LONDRA, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 132 - 141 (ISSN: 0301-4215)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2017 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Fodor, M., Renewable investments: The impact of green policies in developing and developed countries in RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS; 68; LONDRA, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 738 - 747 (ISSN: 1364-0321)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2016 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Estimating the impact of Feed-in tariff adoption: Similarities and divergences among countries through a propensity-score matching method in INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENERGY ECONOMICS AND POLICY; 6; ISTANBUL, Econjournals; pp. 144 - 151 (ISSN: 2146-4553)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2016 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., Assessing the determinants of SIDS' pattern toward sustainability: A statistical analysis in ENERGY POLICY; 98; LONDRA, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 688 - 699 (ISSN: 0301-4215)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2016 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Probabilities to adopt feed in tariff by OPEC countries using a panel probit model in ENERGY SYSTEMS; 7; BERLINO, Springer Verlag; pp. 449 - 468 (ISSN: 1868-3967)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2016 Carfora, Alfonso, Pisani, Stefano, Spingola, Andrea, Marigliani, Massimiliano, The Effects of Split Payment on VAT Revenues: An Empirical Macroeconomic Counterfactual Analysis
    04.02 Abstract in atti di convegno » scheda U-PAD
  • 2015 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Environmental, generation and policy determinants of feed-in tariff: A binary pooling and panel analysis in METODOLOSKI ZVEZKI; 12; LUBIANA, Univerza v Ljubljani; pp. 111 - 122 (ISSN: 1854-0023)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2015 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Is feed-in tariff forever? An empirical analysis in INTERNATIONAL ENERGY JOURNAL; 15; IL CAIRO, Regional Energy Resources Information Center (RERIC); pp. 1 - 8 (ISSN: 1513-718X)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2015 Romano, A. A., Scandurra, G., Carfora, A., Probabilities to adopt feed in tariff conditioned to economic transition: A scenario analysis in RENEWABLE ENERGY; 83; LONDRA, Elsevier Ltd; pp. 988 - 997 (ISSN: 0960-1481)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2014 De Luca, G., Carfora, A., Modelling recession in two european countries: The generalized binomial heterogeneous autoregressive model in ELECTRONIC JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; 7; LECCE, University of Salento; pp. 132 - 152 (ISSN: 2070-5948)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2013 De Luca, G., Carfora, A., Predicting U.S. recessions through a combination of probability forecasts in EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS; 46; BERLINO, Springer Verlag; pp. 127 - 144 (ISSN: 0377-7332)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2013 Quintano, Claudio, Rocca, Antonella, Carfora, Alfonso, The Italian political and pre-electoral polls over time: an analysis of the quality and completeness of the methodological aspects in STATISTICA APPLICATA; 25; Milano, Associazione per la statistica applicata,; pp. 39 - 60 (ISSN: 2038-5587)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2011 Carfora, Alfonso, De Luca, Giovanni, Fitting and forecasting binary time series with long memory effects
    04.03 Poster » scheda U-PAD
  • 2011 Carfora, Alfonso, Applications of BAR and BARMA models: the analysis of lack of convergence of the autopersistence functions in Book of short papers PhD Thesis in Statistics and Application. vol. 2; 2; SIS- Società Italiana di Statistica; pp. 1 - 11 (ISBN: 9788861297081)
    02.01 Contributo in volume (Capitolo o Saggio) » scheda U-PAD
  • 2011 Carfora, Alfonso, De Luca, Giovanni, Predicting binary time series with a long memory structure: an application to U.S. recessions time series.
    04.02 Abstract in atti di convegno » scheda U-PAD
  • 2010 de Luca, G., Carfora, A., A binary time series model with a long-memory structure in STATISTICA & APPLICAZIONI; 8; Milano, Vita e Pensiero; pp. 123 - 134 (ISSN: 2283-6659)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
  • 2009 Quintano, Claudio, Castellano, Rosalia, Rocca, Antonella, Carfora, Alfonso, I sondaggi politico-elettorali agli inizi del III Millennio, caratteristiche e qualità statistiche dei dati Napoli, Guida; pp. 1 - 105 (ISBN: 978-88-6042-639-0)
    03.01 Monografia o trattato scientifico » scheda U-PAD
  • 2009 Quintano, Claudio, Castellano, Rosalia, Rocca, Antonella, Carfora, Alfonso, I sondaggi statistici: spigolature sulla qualità delle indagini in RIVISTA TRIMESTRALE DI SCIENZA DELL'AMMINISTRAZIONE; 2; Bologna, IL MULINO; pp. 29 - 49 (ISSN: 1972-4942)
    01.01 Articolo in Rivista » scheda U-PAD
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